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Fall outlook includes higher temps, more precipitation

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GRAND FORKS, N.D. - The National Weather Service's latest fall outlook predicts a slightly better than average chance of above normal temperatures and precipitation above the long-term average, as well.

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The service's Climate Prediction Center has updated the official three-month outlook for September through November, noting that the transition from last year's El Niño to a La Niña for this fall and winter season is complete.

The outlook assumes this fall will bring somewhat "typical" La Niña weather, although there's no guarantee. Last winter was an El Niño winter, but it didn't bring the lighter precipitation typically associated with an El Niño, and Fargo-Moorhead experienced the sixth-highest Red River crest on record.

The outlook notes that while it's impossible to pinpoint where the greatest precipitation will fall during the next three months, "trends and historical data suggests the Devils Lake Basin and northern Red River Valley would see the higher amounts."

The La Niña will continue into winter, which typically means colder than average weather with a tendency to above normal precipitation and snowfall, the outlook states.

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